Stock Market Cycles: A Practical Explanation

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Say you want a crash course on everything you need to know about investing. It boils down to save a lot and buy low-cost index funds. Now, I should admit here that this recommendation is a little devious, because these two books disagree on a pretty fundamental point.

Stock Market Cycles : A Practical Explanation by Steven E. Bolten (2000, Hardcover)

Frustratingly, both books make powerful cases. But learning to wrestle with ambiguity and uncertainty is good mental training for owning stocks, which is never going to be a comfortable experience. Taken together, their insights can help you craft a smarter, safer financial plan. Malkiel is an emeritus professor at Princeton, but his book, first published in , is not an academic tome. Along the way, however, he popularizes some big, hairy ideas. Why not?

Stock market cycles: A practical explanation - ProQuest

The other way Malkiel is instructive is a little paradoxical: By showing how hard it is for anyone to get a trading edge, he also shows that anyone can invest and do reasonably well—just by buying an index fund. If the market is efficient, you might reason, who am I to fret when prices keep climbing higher? Still, the inherent wisdom of financial crowds is a beguiling idea that deserves a strong counter-narrative.

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Download Stock Market Cycles: A Practical Explanation 2000

Details if other :. Thanks for telling us about the problem. Return to Book Page. Anyone who wants to understand stock market cycles and develop a focused, thoughtful, and solidly grounded valuation approach to the stock market must read this book.


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Bolten explains the causes and patterns of the cycles and identifies the causes of stock price changes. He identifies the sources of risks in the stock market and in individual stocks.

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Also covered is how the Anyone who wants to understand stock market cycles and develop a focused, thoughtful, and solidly grounded valuation approach to the stock market must read this book. Also covered is how the interaction of expected return and risk creates stock market cycles.

How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio

Bolten talks about the industry sectors most likely to be profitable investments in each stage of the stock market cycles, while identifying the stock market bubble and sinkhole warning signs. The role of the Federal Reserve in each stage of the stock market cycle is also discussed. All the categories of risk are identified and explained while no specific risk is left undiscussed. The underlying causes for long-term stock price trends and cycles are highlighted.


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  • The yearly high is considerably higher than the yearly low. Is there a conceptual framework underlying the fluctuations? Does supply and demand shift in reaction to basic, underlying causes that can be identified?

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    Is there a generally consistent and repetitive interaction among the causes? Can this framework skeleton be perceived repeatedly through all the noise and emotion associated over the centuries with stock markets and financial asset pricing? What gives a piece of paper, known as common stock, value? What makes an investor exchange cash, which can be used to purchase almost anything, for a share of common stock, which in and of itself can purchase nothing? The physical stock certificate has no purchasing power. There must be some expected reward or future benefit that will entice investors to part with their money in exchange for the stock certificate.